Saturday, November 27, 2010

Markets slide under more Rahu-Pluto fallout


Stocks moved lower last week over Eurozone debt worries and geopolitical uncertainty in the Korean peninsula. In New York, the Dow lost about 1% during Thanksgiving week closing at 11,092 while the S&P500 finished at 1189. Indian stocks suffered deeper losses as the housing loan scandal merely added to the headwinds. The Sensex lost more than 2% to 19,136 as the Nifty closed at 5751. The fairly gloomy mood here was more or less in keeping with my expectations for more uncertainty and pessimism from the recent Rahu-Pluto conjunction. The early week was fairly bearish in the US and this roughly correlated with the aftermath of the Mercury-Mars conjunction. The midweek Mercury-Jupiter aspect delivered the goods on time as most world markets rallied strongly on Wednesday's improving job picture. And as expected, the late week saw an increase in caution as the Sun was in aspect to Pluto.

November is thus far shaping up to be quite a negative month as the Rahu-Pluto conjunction continues to dominate the proceedings. Rahu's penchant for narrow self-interest and distortion is expressed through the lens of Pluto's desire for power and control over large scale structures. The circumstances surrounding the EU bailout of Ireland last week perhaps speaks to this influence as the political implications of the proposed austerity package is coming under much scrutiny. While austerity may be necessary to restore confidence of the bond market, more citizens are asking why it is necessary that average people are having to foot the bill for mistakes made by privately-owned banks. In other words, if gains are private, then why are losses socialized? It will be interesting to see how this discourse of fairness plays out as Rahu and Pluto are joined by Mercury and Mars over the coming weeks. I would expect some kind of peaking or resolution of these power-related issues by mid-December.

This week begins with a close square of Mars and Jupiter. Recent experience suggests that the combination of Mars' energy with the optimism of Jupiter tends to increase risk appetite and take prices higher. That may well be the case here, although the general situation seems less favourable than it has been previously. On Tuesday and Wednesday there will be a minor aspect between benefics Mercury and Venus which could boost sentiment, at least temporarily. But the cloud hanging over the market is still the approach of Mercury and Mars to that dangerous Rahu-Pluto combination. Mercury will conjoin Rahu on Friday just as Mars squares Uranus. Since both of these aspects are negative influences, the late week period looks much more uncertain.

Saturday, November 20, 2010

QE2 fuels inflation fears; Rahu-Pluto haunts markets


US Stocks were mostly flat last week on offsetting signals from China's bank tightening and Ireland's acceptance of the EU's bailout package. After briefly dipping below the 11K level, the Dow closed at 11,203 while the S&P finished at 1199. Indian shares fared worse as inflationary fears and tighter credit markets in Asia persuaded more investors to take profits. The BSE Sensex closed down 3% at 19,585 while the Nifty ended the week at 5890.

It was an interesting week in astrological terms as Monday's bullish Sun-Jupiter aspect did push up prices in Mumbai but optimism faded around noon in New York. Stocks then began to drift lower in the afternoon and continuing through the day Tuesday and into Wednesday. I had expected some significant downward pressure on prices going into the midweek Mercury-Saturn aspect and that was more or less what happened. As expected, Thursday was higher as risk appetite increased on the Sun-Uranus aspect. I was puzzled about what Friday might bring given the twin direct stations of Venus and Jupiter. While normally bullish, the coincidence of the nasty Mercury-Mars conjunction definitely took the shine off those benefic planets. Mumbai was sharply lower owing to some specific afflictions in the key natal charts while New York ended mostly flat as the early pessimism faded into equanimity.

The Fed continues to come under fire for QE2 and the inflationary pressures it has created in many emerging markets now awash in hot money. This is in keeping with the symbolism of the Rahu-Pluto conjunction that emphasizes the notion of power exercised by large organizations in the service of narrow and greedy self-interest. Not exactly a ringing endorsement of humanity's better impulses, but then again these are two malefic planets that are associated with some of the more base human qualities. While the exact conjunction of Rahu (the North Lunar Node) and Pluto occurred back on November 9, the slow velocity of these planets could mean a lingering influence into December. The quadruple conjunction involving Mercury and Mars in the second week of December may well mark a significant manifestation in this assertive and difficult energy.

This week will begin with the aftermath of the Mercury-Mars conjunction. On the face of it, this is bearish combination although since it is separating, it may not have a lot of negativity left in the tank. By midweek, we could see a rebound in sentiment as Mercury approaches its aspect with bullish Jupiter. This is perhaps not unexpected given the usual positive bias around the US Thanksgiving period. After Mercury loses Jupiter's glow later in the week, there may be a return to uncertainty, especially in Asian markets.

Sunday, November 14, 2010

Stocks tumble on Rahu-Pluto; Venus, Jupiter turn direct


Stocks moved lower last week on concerns that China's inflation problem
would force its central bank to raise interest rates and thus choke off
growth. In New York, the Dow closed 2% lower at 11,192 while the
S&P500 finished at 1199. Indian stocks suffered even larger losses as
the Sensex had its worst week since May falling 4% to 20,156 with the
Nifty closing at 6071. This negative outcome was largely in keeping
with expectations as the ongoing Rahu-Pluto conjunction is highlighting
international tensions around trade and currency. The midweek aspect
between Mercury and Rahu seemed to act as a kind of trigger for the slow
moving Rahu and Pluto and this was perhaps exacerbated by the approach
of the stressful Saturn-Mars aspect on Friday.

It is interesting to see how the growing tensions around the Fed's QE2
stimulus plan and the resulting destabilization of world currencies can
be seen through astrological patterns. Rahu (thoughtless self-interest,
greed) and Pluto (power, large organizations) conjoined exactly on
November 9 just as the G20 were about to meet in South Korea to fashion
some kind of an agreement over currency and trade. No agreement was
reached as export-oriented nations continue to be hurt by the
appreciation of their own currencies. The US wants to create jobs as a
lower Dollar will boost exports, but this is bad news for its trading
partners which are seeing a loss of its export markets as its goods
become more expensive. In keeping with the symbolism of greedy Rahu and
assertive Pluto, this appears to be a time where narrow national
self-interest is being laid bare for all to see.

But the upcoming stations of Venus and Jupiter this week offer some kind
of hope for an end to the impasse. Both Venus and Jupiter end their
retrograde cycles on Friday and will resume their normal forward motion
in the sky. Since both are considered naturally benefic (and bullish)
planets, there is some reason to expect some kind of reconciliation or
agreement is possible. Whether such an agreement will be good for
stocks remains to be seen, however, since a coordinated plan to bolster
the US Dollar would likely lessen risk appetite and make stocks less
attractive.

Ahead of Friday's possible trend reversal, there is an unusually dense
mixture of positive and negative aspects this week. Monday will feature
both the completion of the bearish Mars-Saturn aspect and the start of a
supportive Sun-Jupiter aspect. This suggests the possibility of higher
volatility with gains quickly following upon losses. By Wednesday,
Mercury falls under the influence of pessimistic Saturn so that is may
somewhat increase the likelihood of declines. Thursday's Sun-Uranus
aspect may make risk more attractive and thus tend to boost prices. The
week concludes with "The Venus and Jupiter Show". While these planetary
reversals would appear to be bullish, they occur at the same time as
Mercury conjoins Mars. Since Mars is usually a negative influence,
there is still the possibility that things may not proceed according to
plan. So that is something of a wild card influence on the situation.
The end of the week looks interesting to say the least, with an
increased likelihood of a large price move.

Saturday, November 6, 2010

Markets cheer QE2 ahead of Rahu-Pluto conjunction

Transits for Monday November 8, 2010


Stocks rose sharply last week as Fed Chair Ben Bernanke announced the much-anticipated QE2 stimulus measures designed to boost the listless US economy. In New York, the Dow rallied to new highs for the year and closed at 11,444 while the S&P500 finished at 1225. Indian stocks likewise took a shine to Bernanke's freshly minted rescue package as the Sensex closed at an all-time high of 21,004 with the Nifty coming in at 6312. I thought we might see more downside on midweek Mars-Ketu aspect but the late week Mercury-Jupiter appears to have trumped all other influences. As a result, Wednesday's weakness was quite mild and didn't last long. Monday's Venus-Pluto aspect produced significant gains in Mumbai while Thursday's Mercury-Jupiter aspect sent stocks soaring. Neither of these up moves was especially surprising, although with Ketu's influence largely invisible here, the market rose overall.

An aspect worth watching this week is the conjunction between Rahu and Pluto which is exact on Tuesday. Rahu symbolizes speculation and greed and is considered a malefic planet. It is also connected with situations that break with the status quo and cause uncertainty. Pluto is also a nominally malefic planet and represents power and control, especially as it pertains to large organizations. It is possible that we could see further rally attempts with this intensification of greed, but it seems like a fairly precarious set up. With the G20 meeting in South Korea this coming weekend, one wonders if some significant changes are afoot. Some member nations have expressed frustration with the Fed's stimulus measures since they are devaluing the US Dollar and thus forcing up the value of their own currencies. This is creating problems by fueling inflation and making their exports more expensive. If there was a major change to the current currency regime, it could throw a wrench into the recent stock market rally since much of it has been driven by a falling US Dollar. The combination of Rahu and Pluto certainty has the power to effect such a change, although its full force may take some time to be released. The early December quadruple conjunction of Mercury, Mars, Rahu and Pluto is perhaps the most obvious potential configuration in that respect.

The week begins with a fleeting Mercury-Venus aspect that may boost sentiment and spur some more buying. By midweek, Mercury will form an alignment with Rahu and Pluto and this may correspond with distorted communication and confusion. These conditions would therefore seem to encourage greater caution and lower prices. At the same time, we can see that Mars is gradually coming under the influence of Saturn's full strength sextile aspect, so this may be another drag on sentiment as we move through the week. This aspect is not exact until next Monday the 15th but it will bear close watching.


"A government that robs Peter to pay Paul can always depend on the support of Paul. "
-- George Bernard Shaw